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Mystery Carnival

Mystery Carnival — RTP and statistics

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Mystery Carnival is a game by Uppercut Gaming. Its measured all-time RTP on Stake is 105.41%, based on 1,610,309 bets and $3.11M of turnover. Figures below are actual player results, not the theoretical RTP advertised by the studio.

Ranked #2593 of 10538 tracked games by turnover.

Released:

PeriodRTPTurnover BetsGGR
Day 59.00% $1.5K 1,834 $616.25
Week 139.69% $9.6K 8,431 $-3.8K
Month 93.78% $48.8K 35,331 $3.0K
All time 105.41% $3.11M 1,610,309 $-168.0K

Updated:

Last 30 days

Day by day, since we started recording. Short periods swing hard — one large win moves a day's RTP well past 100% without saying anything about the game's long-run return.

Turnover per day
2026-09-03: $719.002026-09-04: $3.8K2026-09-05: $165.002026-09-06: $468.002026-09-07: $240.002026-09-08: $1.2K2026-09-09: $4.8K2026-09-10: $183.002026-09-11: $898.002026-09-12: $782.002026-09-13: $345.002026-09-14: $1.2K2026-09-15: $1.5K2026-09-16: $1.5K2026-09-17: $1.5K2026-09-18: $1.5K2026-09-19: $1.5K2026-09-20: $1.5K2026-09-21: $1.5K2026-09-22: $1.5K2026-09-23: $1.5K2026-09-24: $1.5K2026-09-25: $1.5K2026-09-26: $1.5K2026-09-27: $1.5K2026-09-28: $1.5K2026-09-29: $1.5K2026-09-30: $1.5K2026-10-01: $1.5K2026-10-02: $1.5K
$719.00$240.00$4.8K$898.00$1.5K$1.5K$1.5K$1.5K
09-0309-0809-1309-1809-2309-28

Daily turnover ranged from $165.00 to $4.8K.

Measured RTP per day
2026-09-03: 50.82%2026-09-04: 68.56%2026-09-05: 76.95%2026-09-06: 86.28%2026-09-07: 84.76%2026-09-08: 83.29%2026-09-09: 200.73%2026-09-10: 80.29%2026-09-11: 66.26%2026-09-12: 205.86%2026-09-13: 124.85%2026-09-14: 17.85%2026-09-15: 59.00%2026-09-16: 59.00%2026-09-17: 59.00%2026-09-18: 59.00%2026-09-19: 59.00%2026-09-20: 59.00%2026-09-21: 59.00%2026-09-22: 59.00%2026-09-23: 59.00%2026-09-24: 59.00%2026-09-25: 59.00%2026-09-26: 59.00%2026-09-27: 59.00%2026-09-28: 59.00%2026-09-29: 59.00%2026-09-30: 59.00%2026-10-01: 59.00%2026-10-02: 59.00% 100%
50.82%84.76%205.86%59.00%59.00%59.00%59.00%59.00%
09-0309-0809-1309-1809-2309-28

Daily RTP ranged from 17.85% to 205.86%. The dashed line marks 100% — break-even.

Advertised vs measured

Advertised RTP
96.01%
Measured RTP
105.41%
Difference
+9.39 pp

Mystery Carnival is advertised at 96.01%. Measured across every tracked bet on Stake it returned 105.41%, 9.39 pp higher than the published figure.

The advertised figure is the studio's long-run theoretical return. The measured figure is what players actually got. Short-run luck moves it either way; the more bets a game has, the closer the two converge.

Uppercut Gaming — All games →

What these numbers mean

RTP
RTP (return to player) is the share of wagered money returned to players as winnings. These figures are measured — what players actually got — not the theoretical RTP a studio publishes. Over a single day the number swings widely because a few large wins move it; the all-time row is the meaningful one.
Turnover
Turnover is the total amount wagered in the period, converted to a USD equivalent across every currency accepted.
Bets
Bets is the count of individual wagers placed.
GGR
GGR (gross gaming revenue) is what the house keeps: turnover minus the winnings paid out. When RTP for a period rises above 100%, players finished ahead and GGR is negative.

Frequently asked questions

What is the real RTP of Mystery Carnival on Stake?

Across all tracked play, Mystery Carnival has returned 105.41% to players over 1,610,309 bets and $3.11M of turnover. Shorter periods differ — see the day, week and month rows above.

Why does this differ from the advertised RTP?

Uppercut Gaming publishes a theoretical RTP calculated over billions of simulated rounds. The figure here is the measured result of real bets on Stake over a finite sample, so it lands near the theoretical number but rarely on it exactly.

Can a game show an RTP above 100%?

Yes, over short windows. It means players won more than they staked in that period — usually one large payout against modest turnover. It is variance, not a permanent edge, and it evens out as the sample grows.

How often are these figures updated?

Our crawler refreshes every tracked game on a rolling cycle, so each game is re-read every few hours.

Responsible gambling

This site reports statistics; it does not offer gambling advice. A high measured RTP does not make a game profitable — every game on this list keeps a house edge over time. If gambling stops being entertainment for you, these organisations offer free, confidential help:

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