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Carnival Queen

Carnival Queen — RTP and statistics

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Carnival Queen is a game by Thunderkick. Its measured all-time RTP on Stake is 94.92%, based on 7,023,898 bets and $8.09M of turnover. Figures below are actual player results, not the theoretical RTP advertised by the studio.

Ranked #1831 of 10538 tracked games by turnover.

Released:

PeriodRTPTurnover BetsGGR
Day 108.34% $301.29 1,815 $-25.13
Week 103.02% $2.6K 6,510 $-77.43
Month 95.05% $14.8K 31,929 $735.07
All time 94.92% $8.09M 7,023,898 $410.8K

Updated:

Last 30 days

Day by day, since we started recording. Short periods swing hard — one large win moves a day's RTP well past 100% without saying anything about the game's long-run return.

Turnover per day
2026-09-03: $234.002026-09-04: $1.1K2026-09-05: $970.002026-09-06: $599.002026-09-07: $580.002026-09-08: $486.002026-09-09: $651.002026-09-10: $342.002026-09-11: $471.002026-09-12: $446.002026-09-13: $235.002026-09-14: $253.002026-09-15: $301.002026-09-16: $301.002026-09-17: $301.002026-09-18: $301.002026-09-19: $301.002026-09-20: $301.002026-09-21: $301.002026-09-22: $301.002026-09-23: $301.002026-09-24: $301.002026-09-25: $301.002026-09-26: $301.002026-09-27: $301.002026-09-28: $301.002026-09-29: $301.002026-09-30: $301.002026-10-01: $301.002026-10-02: $301.00
$1.1K$580.00$471.00$301.00$301.00$301.00$301.00$301.00
09-0309-0809-1309-1809-2309-28

Daily turnover ranged from $234.00 to $1.1K.

Measured RTP per day
2026-09-03: 142.27%2026-09-04: 97.34%2026-09-05: 102.36%2026-09-06: 84.39%2026-09-07: 83.92%2026-09-08: 77.90%2026-09-09: 80.81%2026-09-10: 88.18%2026-09-11: 84.02%2026-09-12: 199.46%2026-09-13: 66.68%2026-09-14: 60.04%2026-09-15: 108.34%2026-09-16: 108.34%2026-09-17: 108.34%2026-09-18: 108.34%2026-09-19: 108.34%2026-09-20: 108.34%2026-09-21: 108.34%2026-09-22: 108.34%2026-09-23: 108.34%2026-09-24: 108.34%2026-09-25: 108.34%2026-09-26: 108.34%2026-09-27: 108.34%2026-09-28: 108.34%2026-09-29: 108.34%2026-09-30: 108.34%2026-10-01: 108.34%2026-10-02: 108.34% 100%
142.27%83.92%199.46%108.34%108.34%108.34%108.34%108.34%
09-0309-0809-1309-1809-2309-28

Daily RTP ranged from 60.04% to 199.46%. The dashed line marks 100% — break-even.

Advertised vs measured

Advertised RTP
96.10%
Measured RTP
94.92%
Difference
−1.18 pp

Carnival Queen is advertised at 96.10%. Measured across every tracked bet on Stake it returned 94.92%, 1.18 pp lower than the published figure.

The advertised figure is the studio's long-run theoretical return. The measured figure is what players actually got. Short-run luck moves it either way; the more bets a game has, the closer the two converge.

Carnival Queen versions compared

Stake carries 2 versions of Carnival Queen. They are separate games with separate maths — advertised return differs, and measured return differs more. Highest measured RTP first.

Version Advertised RTP Measured RTP Difference Bets
Carnival Queen 2 94.18% 97.10% +2.92 pp 941,230
Carnival Queen (this page) 96.10% 94.92% −1.18 pp 7,023,898

Thunderkick — All games →

What these numbers mean

RTP
RTP (return to player) is the share of wagered money returned to players as winnings. These figures are measured — what players actually got — not the theoretical RTP a studio publishes. Over a single day the number swings widely because a few large wins move it; the all-time row is the meaningful one.
Turnover
Turnover is the total amount wagered in the period, converted to a USD equivalent across every currency accepted.
Bets
Bets is the count of individual wagers placed.
GGR
GGR (gross gaming revenue) is what the house keeps: turnover minus the winnings paid out. When RTP for a period rises above 100%, players finished ahead and GGR is negative.

Frequently asked questions

What is the real RTP of Carnival Queen on Stake?

Across all tracked play, Carnival Queen has returned 94.92% to players over 7,023,898 bets and $8.09M of turnover. Shorter periods differ — see the day, week and month rows above.

Why does this differ from the advertised RTP?

Thunderkick publishes a theoretical RTP calculated over billions of simulated rounds. The figure here is the measured result of real bets on Stake over a finite sample, so it lands near the theoretical number but rarely on it exactly.

Can a game show an RTP above 100%?

Yes, over short windows. It means players won more than they staked in that period — usually one large payout against modest turnover. It is variance, not a permanent edge, and it evens out as the sample grows.

How often are these figures updated?

Our crawler refreshes every tracked game on a rolling cycle, so each game is re-read every few hours.

Responsible gambling

This site reports statistics; it does not offer gambling advice. A high measured RTP does not make a game profitable — every game on this list keeps a house edge over time. If gambling stops being entertainment for you, these organisations offer free, confidential help:

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