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Lightning Baccarat

Lightning Baccarat — RTP and statistics

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Lightning Baccarat is a game by Evolution. Its measured all-time RTP on Stake is 97.44%, based on 4,626,839 bets and $1.37B of turnover. Figures below are actual player results, not the theoretical RTP advertised by the studio.

Ranked #53 of 10538 tracked games by turnover.

Released:

PeriodRTPTurnover BetsGGR
Day 87.53% $480.1K 2,327 $59.9K
Week 113.65% $3.32M 13,457 $-453.7K
Month 107.99% $14.06M 80,328 $-1.12M
All time 97.44% $1.37B 4,626,839 $35.15M

Updated:

Last 30 days

Day by day, since we started recording. Short periods swing hard — one large win moves a day's RTP well past 100% without saying anything about the game's long-run return.

Turnover per day
2026-09-03: $777.5K2026-09-04: $131.4K2026-09-05: $55.6K2026-09-06: $270.1K2026-09-07: $298.3K2026-09-08: $699.3K2026-09-09: $203.4K2026-09-10: $568.6K2026-09-11: $410.4K2026-09-12: $106.5K2026-09-13: $599.9K2026-09-14: $1.00M2026-09-15: $480.1K2026-09-16: $480.1K2026-09-17: $480.1K2026-09-18: $480.1K2026-09-19: $480.1K2026-09-20: $480.1K2026-09-21: $480.1K2026-09-22: $480.1K2026-09-23: $480.1K2026-09-24: $480.1K2026-09-25: $480.1K2026-09-26: $480.1K2026-09-27: $480.1K2026-09-28: $480.1K2026-09-29: $480.1K2026-09-30: $480.1K2026-10-01: $480.1K2026-10-02: $480.1K
$777.5K$55.6K$298.3K$410.4K$1.00M$480.1K$480.1K$480.1K
09-0309-0809-1309-1809-2309-28

Daily turnover ranged from $55.6K to $1.00M.

Measured RTP per day
2026-09-03: 109.23%2026-09-04: 91.99%2026-09-05: 103.35%2026-09-06: 102.24%2026-09-07: 99.22%2026-09-08: 97.51%2026-09-09: 96.60%2026-09-10: 104.21%2026-09-11: 90.12%2026-09-12: 134.00%2026-09-13: 96.30%2026-09-14: 151.63%2026-09-15: 87.53%2026-09-16: 87.53%2026-09-17: 87.53%2026-09-18: 87.53%2026-09-19: 87.53%2026-09-20: 87.53%2026-09-21: 87.53%2026-09-22: 87.53%2026-09-23: 87.53%2026-09-24: 87.53%2026-09-25: 87.53%2026-09-26: 87.53%2026-09-27: 87.53%2026-09-28: 87.53%2026-09-29: 87.53%2026-09-30: 87.53%2026-10-01: 87.53%2026-10-02: 87.53% 100%
109.23%99.22%90.12%151.63%87.53%87.53%87.53%87.53%
09-0309-0809-1309-1809-2309-28

Daily RTP ranged from 87.53% to 151.63%. The dashed line marks 100% — break-even.

Advertised vs measured

Advertised RTP
98.76%
Measured RTP
97.44%
Difference
−1.32 pp

Lightning Baccarat is advertised at 98.76%. Measured across every tracked bet on Stake it returned 97.44%, 1.32 pp lower than the published figure.

The advertised figure is the studio's long-run theoretical return. The measured figure is what players actually got. Short-run luck moves it either way; the more bets a game has, the closer the two converge.

Evolution — All games →

What these numbers mean

RTP
RTP (return to player) is the share of wagered money returned to players as winnings. These figures are measured — what players actually got — not the theoretical RTP a studio publishes. Over a single day the number swings widely because a few large wins move it; the all-time row is the meaningful one.
Turnover
Turnover is the total amount wagered in the period, converted to a USD equivalent across every currency accepted.
Bets
Bets is the count of individual wagers placed.
GGR
GGR (gross gaming revenue) is what the house keeps: turnover minus the winnings paid out. When RTP for a period rises above 100%, players finished ahead and GGR is negative.

Frequently asked questions

What is the real RTP of Lightning Baccarat on Stake?

Across all tracked play, Lightning Baccarat has returned 97.44% to players over 4,626,839 bets and $1.37B of turnover. Shorter periods differ — see the day, week and month rows above.

Why does this differ from the advertised RTP?

Evolution publishes a theoretical RTP calculated over billions of simulated rounds. The figure here is the measured result of real bets on Stake over a finite sample, so it lands near the theoretical number but rarely on it exactly.

Can a game show an RTP above 100%?

Yes, over short windows. It means players won more than they staked in that period — usually one large payout against modest turnover. It is variance, not a permanent edge, and it evens out as the sample grows.

How often are these figures updated?

Our crawler refreshes every tracked game on a rolling cycle, so each game is re-read every few hours.

Responsible gambling

This site reports statistics; it does not offer gambling advice. A high measured RTP does not make a game profitable — every game on this list keeps a house edge over time. If gambling stops being entertainment for you, these organisations offer free, confidential help:

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